Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths
Healthy business risk profile, driven by leading market position across most products and vertically integrated operations
JVL has an established market position across business segments, with portfolio offerings of 165+ products. In the speciality chemicals business, JVL is globally the lowest cost producer of pyridine-based derivative products, among the top two in pyridine and the leader in 14 pyridine derivatives. In the NHS business, JVL ranks among the top two manufacturers of Vitamin B3 globally and among India’s largest in Vitamin B4 (Choline Chloride) manufacturing. The company is among the top two players in the acetic anhydride market globally and the leading producer of ethyl acetate. Furthermore, JVL has a healthy pipeline of 60+ new products, which will help sustain its market position across business segments over the medium term.
JVL benefits from vertically integrated operations across the value chain, leading to cost competitiveness. About 41% of the LSC segment volume is consumed by the SC segment and about 56% of the pyridine and picolines output of the SC segment is used in the NHS segment. Economies of scale derived from global presence of capacities, high level of integration in manufacturing, deep chemistry knowledge and continuous improvement in cost efficiency have historically supported the operating profitability of JVL on account of fluctuations in input prices as well as any shift in demand between different products in the value chain. Operating profitability remained healthy at 18.9% in the first nine months of fiscal 2022 and is expected to sustain at 17-19% over the medium term given the expanding portfolio of value-added products and ongoing capacity expansion for the current products.
Diversified revenue profile
Revenue profile is diversified, with 26% derived from the high-margin SC segment in the first nine months of fiscal 2022, 15% from the NHS segment and the remaining 59% from the relatively low-contribution LSC segment. Revenue diversity is further augmented by presence in domestic and international markets, which accounted for 49% and 51% of the revenue, respectively, in the first nine months of fiscal 2022. The company has wide reach in international markets, such as North America and Europe, which account for about 25% of the revenue, while China and the rest of the world account for about 9% of the revenue. The company has 1,400+ clients globally, with the top 10 clients accounting for 20-25% of the overall revenue.
Furthermore, JVL serves diverse end-user industries, such as pharmaceuticals (accounting for 38% of the revenue in the first nine months of fiscal 2022), agrochemicals (20%), nutrition (21%), and industrial segments, such as paints, packaging and solvents (18%). This in turn insulates JVL from downturn in any particular industry. The company’s revenue grew by 51% year-on-year in the first nine months of fiscal 2022, driven by strong growth in the LSC segment, backed by favourable pricing scenario for key products, that is, acetic anhydride and ethyl acetate. The diversified revenue stream and increasing focus on value-added products will support annual revenue growth of 15-20% over the medium term.
Healthy financial risk profile
The financial risk profile is supported by healthy capital structure and steady cash accrual. The company has deleveraged in the first nine months of fiscal 2022 owing to healthy cash accrual, as a result of which gross debt declined to Rs 284 crore as on December 31, 2021, from Rs 548 crore as on March 31, 2021. The net debt/EBITDA ratio improved to 0.3 time in the first nine months of fiscal 2022 from about 0.7 time in fiscal 2021 and is estimated to remain at similar level in fiscal 2022. Other debt protection metrics were healthy, indicated by net cash accrual to adjusted debt and adjusted interest coverage ratios of 2.3 times and 28.5 times, respectively, in the first nine months of fiscal 2022 and is estimated at over 1.8 times and 25 times in fiscal 2022.
JVL has planned capex of ~Rs 900 crore over fiscals 2022-2024, largely towards expansion for diketene derivative products, expansion of facilities for crop protection chemicals, Vitamin B3 products and acetic anhydride. The capex is progressing as per schedule and is expected to be largely funded from internal accrual, with minimal reliance on external borrowings, leading to gearing remaining below 0.3 time over the medium term. JVL may undertake similar quantum of additional capex over the next 3-4 years, which is likely to be funded from internal accruals. Hence, debt metrics are expected to remain healthy over medium-term.
Weaknesses
Moderate working capital intensive operations
Operations are moderately working capital intensive, indicated by gross current assets (GCAs) of about 98 days as on September 30, 2021, driven by high inventory levels, as the company maintains at least two months of raw material and finished goods stock given its wide product portfolio. The company has a prudent cash collection policy, resulting in receivables of about 45 days. JVL benefits from good creditors support, thereby helping in working capital management. JVL’s working capital requirement is expected to increase owing to scale-up in operations over the medium term.
Exposure to fluctuations in input prices and government policies
Fluctuations in prices of acetic acid, which is a key raw material for the LSC segment, has resulted in volatility in the operating margin of the company. While the input price is a pass-through, in case of any sharp increase or decrease in price, there could be some impact on the operating margin. The operating profitability of JVL will remain exposed to fluctuations in acetic acid prices, as the LSC segment is expected to account for about half of the overall revenue over the medium term.
Operations are exposed to government policies given the widespread international presence. For instance, JVL faced anti-dumping duty for its pyridine exports to China in 2015. Since then, the company has entered other geographies, thereby de-risking pyridine exposure to China. Furthermore, in November 2019, China terminated the anti-dumping duty. However, any adverse impact of government policies on revenue and profitability will remain key rating sensitivity factors.